(WLFI) – Happy Tuesday! We see conditions clearing after the slow moving cold front passed through the WLFI viewing area today.
Temperatures are cooler in the north with the help of a nice lake breeze from Lake Michigan. Skies are expected to remain clear overnight with a few higher clouds thanks to the remaining storms to the west. Lows will dip to the lower 50s across the region.
More clouds and a low chance of persistent/dissipating showers cannot be ruled out for tomorrow morning. Most of the area should, however, remain dry.
The forecast for Wednesday still includes uncertainties on the development of the storm. We will have a warm front in the area early in the morning until early afternoon. This will help us warm up to the mid-70s at noon.
Depending on how far north this front can travel, temperatures may warm up more quickly and give us a bit more energy for storm development. The development of this low will be key to what we will experience in our viewing area. We will have a better idea tomorrow morning of the evolution of these trends.
At this time, a few strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out from 2 p.m. to 8 p.m.
Chance of severe thunderstorms for Wednesday afternoon
The storm forecast center has central and southern Indiana under marginal to slight risk. Most of the viewing area, for now, is subject to general thunderstorm risk.
Based on the latest trends, I wouldn’t be surprised if the SPC increased some of the viewing areas to marginal to slight risk (levels 1 and 2). We will continue to monitor and bring you the latest updates on WLFI.
Regardless, with any storm tomorrow, all severe weather modes will be possible with damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado threat in some of the storm clusters. Areas that were hit hard by Monday’s rains may experience more localized flooding. Any storm will have the chance to cause localized flooding.
In the evening, around 9:00 p.m. until midnight, the high pressure will begin to settle in the region. This will clear skies and temperatures back into the mid 50s Thursday morning.
A dry day is expected Thursday with sunny skies and no chance of rain. With strong high pressure in place, high temperatures will be in the mid to high 70’s with WNW winds of 5-10 mph.
A few persistent clouds will be possible throughout the day.
Rainfall through Thursday morning
Thursday morning, some areas could see 0.25″ to a few 1″ patches of rain in some of the strongest storms.
7 Day Outlook
As Friday and the weekend approach, another system will operate Friday afternoon and evening with some lingering showers through Saturday morning. Southwesterly winds of 5 to 10 mph will be possible on Friday, but with increasing cloud cover and rain, the highs may only reach the lows in the mid-70s.
Saturday will be partly sunny with northwest winds of 5-10 mph with little to no chance of rain for the afternoon. Highs will be in the mid 70s. On Sunday there will be less of a chance of showers Sunday morning then again Monday night. Details on exactly what we might see are minimal, but the big story ahead will be the upper level ridge and very hot temperatures coming next week.
If this ridge moves east late next week we could see drier weather but current indications are that we could be on the outer periphery of this ridge which will allow for more disturbances or waves of storms to pass through the afternoon and evening. Tuesday’s highs into next week could easily be in the upper 80s to lower 90s range. Stay tuned!