I’m working on it…..more soon….
This morning’s lows ranged from 55 to 64 with 61 at Purdue Airport. They were the coolest around 55 in Benton, Newton and North Jasper counties. They were warmest in Howard and Clinton counties where there was much more cloudiness.
Today’s highs came in at 78-86.
HIGH/LOW TODAY AND OBSERVATION SITE
86/59….5 SE COVINGTON
84/62….3 E ATTIC
84/61….PURDUE UNIVERSITY AIRPORT
82/M…..KOKOMO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
82/56…..KENTLAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
81/58….3 W DELPHI
80/64…..FRANKFURT MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
80/63…..GRISSOM ARB; GALVESTON AIRPORT
80/58…..2 N RENSSLAER
80/56…..MONTICELLO-WHITE COUNTY AIRPORT; 3rd FOWLER
79/61…..ROCHESTER-FULTON COUNTY AIRPORT
78/58…..FLORA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
M/M…..PERU MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
Lows of 57 to 62 are likely this evening with mostly clear skies and light north west to southwest winds at 2 to 5 mph.
Highs of 82 to 87 are likely tomorrow with rising clouds and the potential for a few showers / isolated showers in the afternoon are cold front passages.
The west to northwest wind will change to north to north-northeast at 13-24 mph.
Dewpoints will rise into the more humid 64-67 range ahead of the weak front then drop to the more comfortable 50s in the evening behind the front.
Skies will clear in the evening followed by Thursday night lows of 53-56. Winds will be north-northeast to northeast at 3-6 mph.
After mostly sunny skies, high and medium clouds are expected to increase (with some cumulus clouds) on Friday as the cold front begins to migrate northeast as a warm front.
Winds seem northeast to east-northeast at 8-13 mph with highs of 78-83 and dew points in the comfortable 50s.
With partly cloudy skies, lows of 55-61 are expected Friday evening.
The warm front will continue to move slowly northeast. It looks like showers and thunderstorms will tend to stay northwest and north to northwest of the viewing area, but we’ll be watching. Partly cloudy skies and highs of 82-86 on Saturday (south wind 10-15 mph) are expected on Saturday with dew points reaching 61-66.
Lows are only expected to drop to 65-70 Saturday evening with partly cloudy skies and a light southerly wind.
A few showers and scattered thunderstorms are possible from Sunday morning to noon, followed by a shift in the wind to the northwest and highs 80-84 with low humidity and sunshine.
This will be another surface cold front that will retreat to the southeast.
This facade will keep heat and humidity away for a little longer. It is expected to maintain highs of 80-85 on Monday and Tuesday.
However, the heat will gradually rise towards the northeast.
The heat is trying to migrate east and northeast to be held by the upper trough in the eastern United States early next week, keeping temperatures near normal.
A few scattered thunderstorms are possible on the edge of this heat as it pushes northeast Tuesday.
Eventually emerges on the plains in two separate distinct areas as it becomes wetter from Texas and Oklahoma southward.
Again, this is a different character from the more northerly centered ridge on dry, fast-drying soils.
Over time, we get into the heat.
Different ridge pattern…not the core of the Texes but the core of the northern and central plains with rapidly worsening drought with extension to the corn belt in late August.
Note the very hot ridge with mid-night temperatures still in the 80s over the central and northern plains to the Midwest.
It’s the very early morning of August 26, for example.
The last week of August looks warmer and drier than normal.
A horseshoe type ridge (similar to last summer) will dominate as cooler weather sets in across the southwestern desert to the southern plains.
The lower Ohio Valley to Texas and the desert southwest appear wetter than normal due to the active tropics in the eastern Pacific, then the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean:
Drier trend here at the moment unless tropical activity and humidity moves further north:
This is an overall drier than normal trend here in September unless the track of the tropical storm/hurricane remnants and the deep tropical moisture axis changes:
Warmer than normal conditions dominate in September with the continued potential for even record heat.
October continues to be very hot overall compared to normal average temperatures.
This is very similar to 2021 and 2020.
Cooler than normal conditions are expected to occur in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies.
Late October could see some of the below normal temperatures creep into North and South Dakota.
There continues to be a pattern and analog trend towards a wetter than normal October (similar to last year). Last year saw the wettest October on record and it completely reversed the drought from summer to early fall 2021.
The risk of severe weather is above normal in October relative to climatological normals.
We saw severe storms in October last year. On one particular day, wind damaged the entire viewing area and Attica was very badly hit by wind and possibly a brief EF0 tornado. Roof damage occurred at Attica High School, numerous old trees and power lines were knocked down, and minor roof damage occurred in a few houses.
The fall tree color change was up to 3 weeks later than normal. This year, it looks like a similar situation will occur with peak fall color around November 8-10, especially for southern and southwestern counties.